Friday, August 5, 2011
Gold May Climb Toward Record as Global Slowdown Increases Demand for Haven
By Glenys Sim / Bloomberg
Gold traded near an all-time high as investors sought a refuge from depreciating currencies amid concern the U.S. Federal Reserve may provide additional stimulus as the economic recovery falters.
Immediate-delivery gold, which jumped to a record $1,672.80 an ounce yesterday, gained as much as 0.5 percent to $1,669.35, before trading at $1,662.05 at 2:36 p.m. in Singapore. Spot gold has rallied 2.4 percent this week as investors sought haven assets on concern that debt problems in the U.S. and Europe will slow growth. Holdings in exchange-traded products rose to 2,178.467 metric tons yesterday, the highest level ever.
Japan joined Switzerland in taking steps to weaken their currencies as concern the U.S. economy is slowing drove investors toward safer assets including gold, the yen and Swiss francs. Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said Japan sold yen, which earlier this week neared a postwar record, a day after the Swiss central bank cut interest rates and said it will boost the supply of francs to curb the “massively overvalued” currency.
“We expect investor flows to remain strong and gold’s uptrend to continue,” said Xin Yi Chen, an analyst at Barclays Capital, which forecasts gold may average $1,560 this quarter. “People are looking for a safe haven and currencies like the franc and yen have also declined recently, so investors have very few places left to put their money.”
December-delivery gold in New York rose as much as 0.3 percent to $1,671.80, after touching an all-time high of $1,675.90 yesterday. Cash silver rallied as much as 0.8 percent to $42.0250 an ounce, matching yesterday’s three-month high.
‘Economic Stimulus’
“Every time we see economic weakness, there will be discussion about more economic stimulus,” said Richard Sichel, who oversees $1.6 billion as chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co. “That could be the case given the fairly weak economic figures we’ve had.”
Reports today and tomorrow may show initial U.S. jobless claims climbed last week, while the unemployment rate remained above 9 percent, according to Bloomberg surveys. There’s a 50 percent chance of another recession, Harvard University economics professor Martin Feldstein, a member of the Business Cycle Dating Committee, said on Aug. 2.
Gold for December-delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose as much as 0.5 percent to a record 346.99 yuan a gram, while futures on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange surged to the highest level since 1982.
Dollar Rallies
The Dollar Index, a gauge of the U.S. currency’s strength against six major counterparts, rallied as much as 0.6 percent today after Japan intervened. Gold typically moves counter to the dollar.
Gold’s relative-strength index has topped 70 since Aug. 2, a sign that the metal may be set to drop. The price may decline because an influx of speculators has made the rally too “hot,” according to analyst David Hightower of the Hightower Report.
The metal may slump to $1,600 in the near term as some investors view the rally as overdone, Hightower said in an interview yesterday. After falling, prices may rebound to $1,730 by the yearend as investors seek a haven.
Spot platinum declined 1.2 percent to $1,760.50 an ounce and palladium dropped 1.2 percent to $786 an ounce.
Church proselytizing Muslims: Hasan Ali acted on his own, say PAS leaders
Written by Wong Choon Mei, Malaysia Chronicle
UPDATED PAS maverick Hasan Ali is at it again. Long-accused of being more comfortable with his UMNO friends, the former Selangor PAS chief acted on his own, without the knowledge of his party, the Mentri Besar or the Selangor state government, over the Damansara Utama church raid.
"This is why we have asked for a full explanation from him because what has happened is very serious. We hope he understand this. He should have consulted the party, the other Muslim leaders in Selangor Pakatan but it looks like for some reason or other, he took it upon himself to handle the matter," Khalid Samad, the Shah Alam MP, told Malaysia Chronicle.
Khalid Samad is due to hold a press conference at 11am in his office on Friday, where he may unveil more information.
The truth according to Hasan and JAIS
Hasan, who holds the post of executive councilor in charge of religious affairs, had defended the JAIS move. He denied that a 'raid' had been carried out, alleging that it was an “examination” that was based on a report that Muslims had attended the church's “break fast” event.
However, his statement was inconsistent, especially when he also alleged that several Muslims had attempted to flee the premises through the church’s back door but were successfully stopped by Jais.
He insisted the function was not a charitable event as painted by DU pastor Danial Ho, but a deliberate attempt to proselytise Muslims.
"Towards the end of the event, the enforcement team and the police had made checks and found attempts to prevent their examination and to get rid of the evidence material,” said Hasan, who gain infamy for his beer raids at 24-hour retail outlets in Selangor in 2009.
“Based on our preliminary investigations, we find that those involved in the event can be charged under Section 10 of the Syariah Criminal Offences Enactment 1995. We also found evidence of proselytisation towards Muslims,” he said in a statement.
Angry Christians
But Christians were not having any of it. Many did not mince words and some even slammed him for being a humbug and making accusations without proof.
"These are very serious allegations. You cannot simply say such things without having proof. We challenge him now to show his evidence," Ramon Navaratnam, past president of Transparency International, told Malaysia Chronicle.
On Wednesday night, some 20 to 30 officers from the police and Jabatan Agama Islam Selangor, some in uniform and many in plainclothes, entered the Dream Centre building, where the Damansara Utama Church is housed without a warrant.
The enforcement officers interrupted a dinner held by an NGO, Harapan Kommuniti, taking photos and video. They took down the details of the Muslim guests, and when asked by the organiser, said they were acting based on a complaint. However they could not produce a copy of the complaint.
Senior pastor of DU church Daniel Ho has expressed disappointment with the JAIS and police "trespass", calling on Malaysians not to "condone this breach of Freedom of Assembly and Association as provided by Article 10 of Federal Constitution".
Did UMNO's Khusrin "activate" himself
It looks like there is more than meets the eye in this episode. BN leaders, including UMNO Youth Chief Khairy Jamaluddin, Wee Ka Sidong, Gan Ping Sieu and even MCA president Chua Soi Lek have rushed out to condemn the raid. The speed and co-ordination with which they turned the blame onto MB Khalid and DAP assemblywoman for Kinrara Teresa Kok took pundits by surprise.
While Pakatan leaders agreed that an apology to Christians was due, they said it should also come from the federal government and MCA's boss, UMNO in particular. MB Khalid, who has already has expressed his regrets at the incident, has demanded an explanation from JAIS. In most states, the religious authorities do not fall directly under state government's purview but answer directly to the Sultan. Most of the authority's appointee are UMNO stalwarts.
In Selangor's case, it is the same. While Hasan works with JAIS due to his portfolio, JAIS reports to the Sultan and most of its appointees are still UMNO stawarts, the most famous of whom is Khusrin Munawi. Khusrin, the former director general of JAIS, was at the centre of a huge storm earlier this year when he was recommended by the JPA, which is controlled by the federal government, to be the State Secretary. Despite strong objections from MB Khalid's administration, the Sultan approved Khusrin's appointment.
It is not clear if Khusrin has a hand in the last scam but even at the start of the year, many had expected him to "activate" and help UMNO to chop down the Selangor Pakatan admiinistration from within.
More than meets the eye - BN conspiracy
When Hasan Ali issued his statement this evening, it was clear he may be fanning the fire for his friends at UMNO again. He was previously warned for this and has maintained a low profile since then. However, his recent failure to retain the Selangor Commissioner's post was shocker to him as PAS delegates overwhelming voted for moderate leaders and closed the door on UMNO's proposal for a merger.
Yet just days, Ahmad Maslan, the UMNO information chief, began his taunts again. "Although the offer was turned down before, UMNO has not closed the door to talks with PAS, more so now with the advent of Ramadan," Bernama reported Ahmad as saying last week.
It is hard to say what will happen to Hasan Ali, especially if he cannot offer proof to back his allegations. Prior to this incident, PAS leaders had brushed aside rumblings from the grassroots for him to quit the state executive council since he was no longer the Selangor PAS chief. However, the top party leadership wanted stability in the state administration and hence, there was no move to remove him at all.
Now that he has stirred up such a storm amid growing suspicion that he was helping UMNO again, chances are high he will be punished in one way or another. Hasan had in the aftermath of the 2008 general election promoted a merger between PAS and UMNO in Selangor. The 64-year old Gombak Setia assemblyman was accused of being ambitious and wanting to be the Selangor Mentri Besar.
Wednesday, August 3, 2011
Najib, Taib dish out another international scandal for Malaysia
Written by Wong Choon Mei, Malaysia Chronicle
If Malaysians thought the yellow-dress snub from Queen Elizabeth and the Scorpenes-Altantuya scandals were bad enough, hold on. Prime Minister Najib Razak is going to outdo himself and plunge the country into another international disgrace.
This time, he will also take down with him some of the world’s most prestigious broadcasting networks, including CNBC, CNN and even BBC World. The fallout can be expected to be noisy and may even rival the phone-hacking scandal of Rupert Murdoch’s News International group in Britain.
In its latest posting,UK-based Sarawak Report spilled the beans on how Najib and other Malaysian leaders such as Sarawak Chief Minister Taib Mahmud spent millions of taxpayers' money to buy positive news coverage on the international circuit to improve their image.
Such a practise of slipping in content tantamount to paid-advertisments through the backdoor as independent editorial news is banned under UK and US broadcasting laws.
"As our story hits the headlines CNCB, CNN, BBC World and other carriers of FBC-made programmes will face some serious investigations by their licencing authorities, both in the UK (Ofcom) and in the United States (the Federal Communications Commission)," Clare Rewcastle-Brown, the editor of Sarawak Report, wrote in the posting entitled entitled Taib Paid Out $5 Million To Attack Sarawak Report! – International Expose.
Although, the broadcasting firms ultimately hold the legal responsibility for all the content they put out, make no mistake, no one is going to forget the Malaysian leaders who were so willing to stump out millions of taxpayers' money for an ego trip. Indeed, the Malaysian leaders are likely to be condemned for trying to deceive and lull the world into a false perception of themselves and their country in a bid to continue garnering support for their regimes and business projects.
"Media for hire? Unfortunate that we must confront these practices in international media and domestic media," was Opposition Leader Anwar Ibrahim's response to the news.
Najib reccomended FBC to Taib
Sarawak Report had exposed FBC Media, a TV production company which doubles as a “strategic communications” firm, for conducting an illicit scam over the past decade, secretly selling slots across a number of supposedly impartial TV news programmes to promote its international clients, including Najib,Taib, former premier Abdullah Badawi and palm oil conglomerate Sime Darby.
"The practice, which is designed to deceive hundreds of millions of TV viewers, has netted the company tens of millions of dollars, providing characters like Taib Mahmud with positive publicity on prime international TV shows. It is all paid for, of course, by their own taxpayers, whom they are also seeking to dupe and impress," said Clare.
"Our evidence further shows that FBC Media are also linked to the vicious online blogging campaigns in the US which have defamed both Anwar Ibrahim and Sarawak Report over the past months [see Sarawak Reports Dirty Tricks Coverage]."
Proof of link to APCO
FBC Media’s ties with the controversial American PR company APCO are also "clearly proven", added Sarawak Report. Official disclosure documents to the United States Government show that FBC Media has paid a total of $70,000 to APCO over the past two years to conduct a lobbying campaign in the United States on behalf of the Malaysian Government.
"Such lobbying is clearly just part of the services commissioned from FBC Media by BN’s political leaders. The production/Public Relations company cannot deny that the Malaysian government is also frequently featured across all its programmes," said Clare.
"According to our inside information, Najib suggested that Taib engage FBC Media for a similar campaign after the Chief Minister was seen to have suffered a publicity crisis, following revelations in Sarawak Report about his extensive corruption."
According to Clare, Taib is also paying FBC $5 million (RM15 million) a year to conduct an illegal global media campaign against Sarawak Report.
The reliance on flashy public relations
Indeed, the most glaring feature of Najib's two-year-odd tenure has been his reliance on flashy public relations. He has frequently been accused of being all form and no substance. His ability to ignore facts and reality have alarmed many Malaysians who wondered at 58-year old's 'Jekyll and Hyde responses.
At the Vatican recently, he spouted religious moderation and decried extremism to the Pope. On touching down in Kuala Lumpur, he immediately reverted to religious bigotry with comments that horrified the Christians here. Perhaps it is easier to understand now why his countryment often regard him as the proverbial 'Emperor who wasn't wearing any clothes'.
But sad to say, the joke is actually on the country. It will be Malaysia that will be made a laughing stock of and it will be taxpayers who will have to foot the huge bills. Official recortds show that between 2008-2009, a massive RM57.68 million was paid by the Prime Minister’s office to FBC Media to conduct a ”Global Strategic Communications Campaign” for the Malaysian government; RM29,337,650 was paid out in 2008 and RM28,350,000 in 2009.
A further RM42 million was spent in 2010 on “Public Affairs and Government Services and Strategic Communication, Public Relations and Press Outreach”, according to the latest supplementary budget.
"No denial has been made by FBC Media or the Malaysian government about the contract. Neither have they attempted to deny the sums that are officially registered in the government budget,"said Clare.
Monday, August 1, 2011
It's a deal: Obama, Congress will avert default
By DAVID ESPO / AP Special Correspondent
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Ending a perilous stalemate, President Barack Obama and congressional leaders announced a historic agreement Sunday night on emergency legislation to avert the nation's first-ever financial default.
The dramatic resolution lifted a cloud that had threatened the still-fragile economic recovery at home - and it instantly powered a rise in financial markets overseas.
The agreement would slice at least $2.2 trillion from federal spending over a decade, a steep price for many Democrats, too little for many Republicans. The Treasury's authority to borrow would be extended beyond the 2012 elections, a key objective for Obama, though the president had to give up his insistence on raising taxes on wealthy Americans to reduce deficits.
The deal, with scant time remaining before Tuesday's debt-limit deadline for paying government bills, "will allow us to avoid default and end the crisis that Washington imposed on the rest of America," the president said in an announcement at the White House.
Default "would have had a devastating effect on our economy," he said.
House Speaker John Boehner telephoned Obama at mid-evening to say the agreement had been struck, then immediately began pitching the deal to his fractious rank and file.
"It isn't the greatest deal in the world, but it shows how much we've changed the terms of the debate in this town," he said on a conference call, according to GOP officials. He added the agreement was "all spending cuts. The White House bid to raise taxes has been shut down."
The House Democratic leader, Rep. Nancy Pelosi, was noncommittal. "I look forward to reviewing the legislation with my caucus to see what level of support we can provide," she said in a written statement.
Many economists have expressed concerns that the spending cuts could threaten an already feeble economic recovery. The first half of 2011 marked the worst six-month economic performance since the Great Recession officially ended in June 2009.
No votes were scheduled in either house of Congress before Monday, to give rank and file lawmakers time to review the package. Senate approval seems virtually certain; the House could prove more difficult.
Without legislation in place by Tuesday, the Treasury would not be able to pay all its bills, raising the threat of a default that administration officials say could inflict catastrophic damage on the economy.
If approved, though, a compromise would presumably preserve America's sterling credit rating, reassure investors in financial markets across the globe and possibly reverse the losses that spread across Wall Street in recent days as the threat of a default grew.
Even word of an impending deal earlier in the day by Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky sent U.S. stock futures upward. And before Obama had finished speaking, Japan's benchmark Nikkei index, opening Monday morning - at 8 p.m. Sunday on America's East Coast - was up 1.7 percent in early trading.
Not that the deal would end the political maneuvering. While eliminating the threat of default, it creates a remarkably short timetable for Congress to debate a huge and politically bruising deficit-reduction plan. The plan would require a committee of lawmakers to come up with $1.5 trillion more in deficit cuts from benefit programs or tax reform before Thanksgiving. Congress must vote on them by Christmas - or trigger across-the-board cuts that would hit the Pentagon and domestic programs.
Pending final passage, the agreement marked a dramatic reach across party lines that played out over six months and several rounds of negotiating, interspersed by periods of intense partisanship.
"Sometimes it seems our two sides disagree on almost everything," Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said in floor remarks.
"But in the end, reasonable people were able to agree on this: The United States could not take the chance of defaulting on our debt, risking a United States financial collapse and a world-wide depression."
Vice President Joe Biden, who played an important part in this weekend's negotiations, agreed. He tweeted, "Compromise makes a comeback."
Not everyone felt that way.
"Someone has to say no. I will," said Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., a contender for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
Across the weeks, Boehner emerged as Obama's principal Republican antagonist in a contentious new era of divided government, yet struggled to corral his own rank and file at times.
At the end, though, McConnell and Biden, who looked on as Obama announced the deal, provided a negotiating channel to get the deal completed, overcoming a last-minute standoff over the impact of spending cuts on the Pentagon budget.
The plan calls for spending cuts and increased borrowing authority for the Treasury in two stages.
In the first, passage of the legislation would trigger more than $900 billion in spending cuts over a decade as well as a $900 billion increase in the government's borrowing authority.
The spending cuts would come from hundreds of federal programs across the face of government - accounts that Obama said would be left with the lowest levels of spending as a percentage of the overall economy in more than a half-century.
The increased borrowing authority includes $400 billion that would take effect immediately, and $500 billion that would be permitted after Congress had a chance to block it.
In the second stage, a newly created joint committee of Congress would be charged with recommending $1.5 trillion in deficit reductions by the end of November that would be put to a vote in Congress by year's end. The cuts could come from benefit programs such as Medicare, Social Security and Medicaid as well as from an overhaul of the tax code.
The committee proposals could trigger a debt limit increase of as much as $1.5 trillion, if approved by Congress. But if they do not materialize, automatic spending cuts would be applied across government to trim spending by $1.2 trillion.
Social Security, Medicaid and veterans' benefits would be exempt from the automatic cuts, but payments to doctors, nursing homes and other Medicare providers could be trimmed, as could subsidies to insurance companies that offer an alternative to government-run Medicare.
The deal marked a classic compromise, a triumph of divided government that would let both Obama and Republicans claim they had achieved their objectives.
As the president demanded, the deal would allow the debt limit to rise by enough to tide the Treasury over until after the 2012 elections.
But Obama's request to extend the current payroll tax holiday beyond the end of 2011 would not be included, nor his call for extended unemployment benefits for victims of the recession.
Republicans would win spending cuts of slightly more than the increase in the debt limit, as they have demanded. Additionally, tax increases would be off limits unless recommended by the bipartisan committee, which is expected to include six Republicans and six Democrats. The conservative campaign to force Congress to approve a balanced-budget amendment to the Constitution would be jettisoned.
Congressional Democrats have long insisted that Medicare and Social Security benefits not be cut, a victory for them in the proposal under discussion. Yet they would have to absorb even deeper cuts in hundreds of federal programs than were included in legislation they had advanced in the final days before an agreement was reached.
DAP: Najib afraid to defend 1 Malaysia
By Shannon Teoh, The Malaysia Insider
KUALA LUMPUR, Aug 1 — The DAP has flayed Datuk Seri Najib Razak for what it says is the prime minister’s lack of political will and courage in bowing to his deputy and failing to defend his own 1 Malaysia policy.
Publicity chief Tony Pua pointed out that Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin had twice reiterated in 2009 that he is “Malay first” for “he would be shunned by all the Malays if he were to say that he is a Malaysian first.”
But the government’s own definition of 1 Malaysia on the Pemandu website is a “nation where every Malaysian perceives himself or herself as Malaysian first, and by race, religion, geographical region or socio-economic background second.”
“Najib is proving to be the lamest prime minister in Malaysia’s history... a weak leader with no political conviction and neither political will nor political courage when he refused to defend his 1 Malaysia policy as defined in the Government Transformation Plan (GTP) policy document,” said Pua (picture).
The Petaling Jaya Utara MP said Najib refused to openly declare himself a “Malaysian first” or commit to its definition when asked by a student at yesterday’s Malaysian Student Leaders Summit (MSLS).
“Instead, he dodged the question by giving an answer that would have left the students in no doubt that the man before them is no leader. Najib said that he does not ‘want to respond in a way that will divide me from my deputy. In Malaysia, that can be very dangerous’,” he added.
The DAP leader said the Barisan Nasional chief was “doing his utmost to avoid displeasing his deputy, even at the expense of his most important policy lynchpin.”
“It raises the question as whether Najib’s position as the Umno president is so ‘very dangerous’ that he has to march to Muhyiddin’s beat, with the latter firmly in the driver’s seat,” he said.
Najib had refused to answer directly the question posed yesterday, insisting that “1 Malaysia is our guiding philosophy. It does not matter what you say, just as long as you follow.”
The prime minister’s 1 Malaysia concept has been heavily attacked by Pakatan Rakyat (PR) lawmakers who have labelled it as meaningless after Muhyiddin repudiated it in 2009.
Of the Umno members in Najib’s Cabinet, only Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department Datuk Seri Nazri Aziz has publicly stated his acceptance of the 1 Malaysia idea.
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