Nomi Prins – Keynote Speaker Who Recently Addressed The Fed, IMF And World Bank, Warns “It’s All Coming To An End”

Today Nomi Prins, the keynote speaker who recently addressed the Federal Reserve, IMF and the World Bank, warned King World News “It’s all coming to an end.”

Eric King:  “Nomi, we went through a round of terror in 2008, and certainly China just went through that again recently when their stock market crashed along with the emerging markets, but when does this whole global Ponzi scheme finally come unraveled?”

Nomi Prins:  “We are seeing small unravelings all the time.  Brazil is doing badly, Mexico is struggling, currencies around the world relative to the dollar are hurting, which means relationships of imports to exports and money coming into those countries are hurting.

China has had problems but its central bank has been big enough and strong enough to boost it at least somewhat back up again.  The United States is in complete denial in terms of what the economic indicators are said to be vs what they actually are and how the markets themselves are being continually buoyed either by the Federal Reserve or the Fed’s associations with some of the big banks in terms of continuing to buy Treasury bonds.

“The ECB is still on a mission, and as of the November 12th announcement from Mario Draghi, an even stronger mission to continue to infuse those markets with artificial money and perhaps even enhance their quantitive easing program.

It’s All Coming To An End

So you ask, ‘When is this all coming to an end?’  It is all coming to an end, but you have all these actors trying to prop up different pieces of it (the global financial system) and so that’s why there is all this enhanced volatility and you have so many ups and downs (in global markets).

(The end will come) when there are no more creative concepts on the part of these central banks to provide the artificial stimulus to the markets.  And that could be the middle or the end of 2016, only because one big central bank in play has already committed to doing their part of it (with enhanced stimulus).

And so that’s why we continue to have enhanced volatility to the downside in global markets that is also met with intervention, which is unprecedented.  But it (the stimulus) does exist and we have to recognize that, as unprecedented and bizarre as it is, and there are indications that it will continue.  And so that keeps the artificial game in play through the middle or fall of 2016.

If Anything Was Stable For Real…

But in the core of markets and economies things are not stable, which is why all of these (volatile) movements are happening.  If anything was stable for real, the Federal Reserve would have raised rates years ago, the ECB wouldn’t have needed to come up with another round of quantitative easing, the People’s Bank of China wouldn’t need to reduce the reserve requirements to their financial institutions in order to give them more money to play with — none of that would be happening.

So we are in a state of deterioration.  The timing of an eventual implosion has to do with when the big banks have nothing left to counteract the artificial markets coming apart that they themselves have created.  Eric, this is why I’m working on a book right now titled Artisans of Money, to examine the extent to which the financial system is in play and is shifting in terms of its very paradigm.

We have never had what we’ve experienced since 2008 in terms of central bank interventions in the financial markets.  So what I am doing right now for this book is traveling and talking to central bank leaders and members around the world, and looking at how things are on the ground in major countries,and speaking with leaders who are involved in all of these interactions and artificial stimulants to the markets and piecing together this transitionary time in history where we will look back and say, ‘That is when everything…You can continue listening to this powerful audio interview with Nomi Prins, where she discusses the coming financial destruction that is in front of us, what is going to put an end to the manipulation of major markets, including gold and silver, what investors can do to protect themselves and much more, by CLICKING HERE.

Governments Control Everything But This Will End In Chaos

With continued volatility in global markets, today one of the top economists in the world sent King World News an incredibly powerful piece warning governments control everything but this will end in chaos.  Below is the fantastic piece from Michael Pento.

By Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies
– U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance Turns Into the Dark Ages

The October ISM Manufacturing Index, which has been the official barometer of the U.S. manufacturing sector since 1915, came in with a reading of just 50.1. This was a level barely above contraction.

Of the 18 industries surveyed in the Regional Manufacturing Survey, 9 reported contraction in October: Apparel, leather & allied products; primary metals; petroleum & coal products; plastics & rubber products; electrical equipment, appliances & components; machinery; transportation equipment; wood products; and computer & electronic products.

Energy Struggles

And of those nine, the energy market in particular continues to struggle the most. One respondent in the survey noted that the effects of the weak energy market are now beginning to bleed into other areas of the economy.

In addition to this, new orders for U.S. factory goods fell for a second straight month in September (down 1.0 %), confirming the manufacturing sector in the United States has hit a downturn. In fact, U.S. factory orders have fallen y/y for 11 of last 14 months; and contracted 6.9% from September 2014.

Furthermore, demand for durable goods fell 1.2% in September. While demand for nondurable goods (goods not expected to last more than three years) fell 0.8%. This placed downward pressure on GDP in the third quarter leading to a disappointing 1.5% GDP read.

During the month of September a majority of U.S. states reported jobs losses, as the slowing manufacturing sector weighed on hiring nationwide. The Labor Department recently announced that 27 states actually lost jobs in the month of September. This data belies the rosy headline 271k Non-Farm Payroll report issued for October: the Labor Department releases individual state data a month in arrears.

Turning Back To The Dark Ages 

All this bad news begs the question: Has the former manufacturing renaissance in the United States officially turned back into the dark ages?

Despite huge kudo’s to U.S. ingenuity for inventing fracking and horizontal drilling technologies, the viability of these innovations depends upon an unsustainable bubble in oil prices. Fracking is just one example of the misallocation of capital resulting from faulty price signals derived from central banks’ manipulation of interest rates.

And this failure isn’t limited to our Federal Reserve. The strategies of central banks all over the world are failing.

Problems In Europe And Japan

The European Central Bank (ECB) to date is in the process of printing the equivalent of $67 billion of QE per month, which will amount to a total of $1.2 trillion (or 1.1 trillion euros) by the time Mario Draghi’s QE program is slated to end in September of 2016.

Considering all that money printing, GDP in the Eurozone was only a pathetic 1.2% larger than it was one year ago.

Once the star of the Eurozone economy, German GDP disappointed with growth of 0.4% for the second quarter instead of the 0.5% analysts had been expecting. The French figure came in completely flat, and Italy, the Eurozone’s third biggest economy, disappointed with growth of just 0.2%.

Italy’s unemployment rate managed to fall in September, even as its economy lost 36,000 jobs during the month. This was because more discouraged workers left the workforce. As growth rates languish and economies lose jobs, central banks are getting more and more desperate to create inflation, which they like to masquerade as growth.

But the sad truth is even with over a trillion Euros of new money printed, governments are not achieving the inflation rates or the GDP growth they are seeking.

And then we have Japan, which is entering into its 3rd recession since the Abenomics regime took control in December 2012. The BOJ has been in the habit of printing 80 trillion yen each year! Nevertheless, its debt to GDP is approaching 250%, and annual deficits are 8% of GDP. The BOJ is buying 90% of all the bonds issued, and now owns half of all Japanese ETF’s. Yet despite a train wreck of an economy and horrific debt and deficits the 10 year note—in a perfect example of a central bank distorting economic reality–is yielding just 0.3%.

Our Fed has printed $3.5 trillion since 2008 in a futile attempt to get the economy growing at what Keynesians term as escape velocity. However, we have only averaged 2% growth since 2010. And growth in 2015 appears to be even less, as the all-important manufacturing sector is now clearly in a recession, and is now dragging down the rest of the economy.

Governments Control Everything But This Will End In Chaos

Today, there are no free markets left anywhere in the world. Governments control the fixed income, equity and real estate sectors; and therefore control the entire economy. And what was once touted as the U.S. manufacturing renaissance has morphed into another example of how government’s abrogation of free markets will ultimately result in economic chaos and entropy.

THE G-30 GROUP OF CENTRAL BANKERS WARN THEY CAN “NO LONGER SAVE THE WORLD”

“Central banks have described their actions as ‘buying time’ for governments to finally resolve the crisis… But time is wearing on"

by ZERO HEDGE

In a detailed report by the Group of Thirty, central bankers warned that ZIRP and money printing were not sufficient to revive economic growth and risked becoming semi-permanent measures. As Reuters reports, the flow of easy money has inflated asset prices like stocks and housing in many countries but have failed to stimulate economic growth; and with growth estimates trending lower and easy money increasing company leverage, the specter of a debt trap is now haunting advanced economies. “Central banks have described their actions as ‘buying time’ for governments to finally resolve the crisis… But time is wearing on,” sending a message of “you’re on your own” to governments around the world.

The G30 begins their report rather pointedly…

Central banks worked alongside governments to address the unfolding crises during 2007–09, and their actions were a necessary and appropriate crisis management response. But central bank policies alone should not be expected to deliver sustainable economic growth. Such policies must be complemented by other policy measures implemented by governments.
At present, much remains to be done by governments, parliaments, public authorities, and the private sector to tackle policy, economic, and structural weaknesses that originate outside the control or influence of central banks. In order to contribute to sustainable economic growth, the report presumes that all other actors fulfill their responsibilities.

Roughly translated… central bankers are saying “you are now on your own.”

Central banks alone cannot be relied upon to deliver all the policies necessary to achieve macroeconomic goals. Governments must also act and use the policy-making space provided by conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures. Failure to do so would be a serious error and would risk setting the stage for further economic disturbances and imbalances in the future.

And the “need to exit” appears to be front and center for The G30 bankers…

There seems to be an almost unanimous view that monetary policy in the major AMEs will have to be normalized at some point. However, even if views differ about what precisely normal might mean, presumed dates for exit also differ due to different countries being at different points in the business cycle. There is also agreement that a danger exists of exiting too soon, thus aborting a nascent recovery, and also of exiting too late, thus encouraging some combination of higher inflation and other imbalances that could also weigh on recovery.

However, where serious disagreement arises is when it comes to discussing which danger is the greater. Those worried about too early an exit point to the example of the Federal Reserve in 1937. In contrast, those worried about too late an exit point to the inflation that followed the Fed-Treasury Accord in the late 1940s and to the inflationary surge in the early part of the 1970s.

In recent years, distortions in financial markets and the effects on EMEs have also moved much higher up the list of concerns of this latter group.

While reasonable people can disagree on such objective issues, a number of political economy factors seem to make exiting too late the more likely outcome.

First, there is great uncertainty concerning the consequences of tightening.

Second, in some cases it will in fact be clear that tightening will reveal some debts as being unserviceable, and some financial institutions as undercapitalized. Central banks will then be asked to wait until these other sectors have become more robust, which could well take a long time. The danger is that debt levels will rise with the passage of time, strengthening the arguments for still more forbearance—the debt trap discussed above.

Third, debtors will obviously resist the tightening of policy.Since governments are struggling to manage record-high sovereign debt levels, they too will be tempted to put pressure on their central banks to push back tightening as far as possible.

But delaying an ‘exit’ has costs…

Wicksell, Hayek, Koo, Minsky, and others have, over many decades, identified a variety of theoretical concerns arising from the excessive expansion of money and credit during booms. Rising inflation, investment misallocations, balance sheet overhangs, banking sector instability, and volatile international capital flows were all highlighted as threats to future economic stability. Moreover, by 2007 it was evident that these were matters of practical concern as well.

The policies followed by the major central banks since 2008, while contributing to stability in the short run and conceivably avoiding a second great depression, might also have aggravated threats to future stability. These policies have had undesirable macroeconomic side effects both in the AMEs themselves and in EMEs. Admittedly, in the latter case, the policy responses of the EMEs themselves to inflows of foreign capital have also played a contributing role.

“Capital losses would affect many investors, including banks, and the process of extend and pretend for poor loans would have to come to a stop,” the G30 report said.

With the consequences of an exit from easy money so unpredictable, the G30 said the risk was of exiting too late for fear of sparking another crisis.

And so, while ‘exit’ is seen as urgent, it is unlikely…

“Faced with uncertainty, the natural default position is the status quo,” the G30 said.
In other words more of the same… and while  The G30 are careful to note the glass-half-full persepctive of the future, their “endgame” scenario of continuing weak (or even weaker) growth  is troubling…

Should the global economy stay weak, or indeed should it weaken again as financial markets overshoot, we could face the possibility of debt deflation. The almost 40 percent decline in commodity prices since mid-2014 could be a precursor of such a slowdown. In this environment, risk-free rates would stay very low and there would be no exit for monetary policy.
Nevertheless, the current prices of many other financial assets would be revealed as excessive. Capital losses would affect many investors, including banks, and the process of extend and pretend for poor loans would have to come to a stop. In this scenario, for all the political economy arguments presented above, attempts might nevertheless be made to rely on monetary policy to restore demand. However, just as past efforts have failed to gain traction, renewed efforts would likely have a similar outcome. This would be particularly likely if the overhang of debt had worsened in the interval as has indeed happened over the last few years.

In such circumstances, governments would also be faced with chronic revenue shortfalls. This could lead to a worst-case situation where deflation would actually sow the seeds for an uncontrolled inflationary outcome. Governments with both large deficits and large debts must borrow to survive, but worries about debt accumulation might imply an increasing reluctance on the part of the private sector to lend to them at sustainable rates. In that case, recourse to the central bank is inevitable, and hyperinflation often the final result.

And the side effects of central bank policies during the crisis is still more worrying…

Central banks see their actions as buying time for governments to address problems that are essentially real, not monetary. However, governments have thus far not reacted as necessary. Recognizing the political difficulties of addressing these underlying problems, they prefer to believe that central bank actions will be sufficient to restore strong, stable, and balanced growth. Thus, they are strongly tempted to forebear in the pursuit of policies that might be more effective. The longer this standoff persists, the more dangerous it becomes as the undesirable side effects of current central bank policies continue to cumulate.

Which is exactly what Macquarie hinted at… the academics will be the first to note that policy escalation may be required (helicopter money).. and then policy-makers have the ivory tower to lean on when they unleash it.

Finally, The G30 admits – it’s all an illusion…

Central bank policies since the outbreak of the crisis have made a crucial contribution to restoring the appearance of financial stability.

Nevertheless, for this appearance to become a reality, underlying problems rooted in very high debt levels must be resolved if global growth is to be more sustainably restored.

So, the bottom line, reading between the lines of this 80-page report, is that

Central Bankers know their policies have done (and will do) nothing to promote real economic improvements, are putting pressure on governments to do something (anything), admit that is unlikely (because the central bankers have always saved them before), expect extreme policy measures to become the status quo (despite admitting their failure) for fear of any asset weakness, and suggest more measures might be needed (which have led to hyperinflation in the past).

But apart from that – everything is awesome!!

Federal Reserve has already started QE3, says investor Jim Rogers

Veteran US investor Jim Rogers believes the Federal Reserve has already launched a third round of quantitative easing, despite chairman Ben Bernanke failing to mention stimulus measures in his Jackson Hole speech last week.

By Andrew Trotman

Mr Rogers, who co-founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros, believes that America's central bank is secretly printing money to avoid "getting egg on their face again" after previous attempts to kickstart the faltering economy with $2 trillion of QE failed.

"I do not know if they [the Fed] will announce it," he told India's Economic Times. "I know they are going to print more money. They already are. If you look at their balance sheets, you will see that something is happening, assets are building on their balance sheets and they are not coming from the tooth fairy.

"They are a little bit embarrassed because they announced QE1 and QE2, and it did not work. So they may try to discuss it. They may just continue to do it without getting egg on their face again, but they are going to print money, they are all going to print money. It is the wrong thing to do, but that is all they know how to do."

He told the Daily Telegraph: "They probably have learned how to do things off balance sheet. I have nothing to confirm this but everyone else has learned how, so they probably have too. This is just a comment on human nature."

Mr Bernanke said in his annual speech at Jackson Hole on Friday that the country's high level of unemployment - it climbed to 8.3pc in July - is a "grave concern" and that the "economic situation remains far from satisfactory".

The US's plight is echoed across the Western world as the eurozone grapples with its own debt crisis that threatens to see Greece leave the single currency. Spain and Italy are also struggling with recession as austerity measures championed by Germany eat away at growth.

And Mr Rogers believes there is no end in sight to the eurozone's problems.

"There are going to be more problems coming out of Europe," he said. "You have got countries that are essentially bankrupt. Nobody is dealing with the problems in Europe. You look at everyone out there. They all have higher debts and all of their projections, maybe Bulgaria and one or two more countries do not have higher debts in their projections, but everybody has got increasing debt. The solution to too much debt is not more debt."

As turbulence rocks Western stock markets - the Euro Stoxx 50 index is down 3.1pc from its year-high in March after falling 18.8pc - investors have turned to emerging markets such as Asia for returns. However, Mr Rogers - whose Quantum portfolio gained 4,200pc in the 10 years to 1983 as the S&P advanced about 47pc - says the East has major problems of its own.

"I doubt [India can overcome its sluggish growth]. The debt to GDP in India is now more than 90pc. Study shows that when you get that high debt ratio, it is very difficult to grow in a dynamic way... India has inflation for its own reasons... I am not a fan of India. In fact, I am short on India."

Even China, which has enjoyed double-digit growth in recent years, is at risk from a financial crisis as the government seeks to cool the economy. Chinese manufacturing fell to a three-year low on Monday in a further sign China is headed for a "hard landing".

"China tried tightening for three years," Mr Rogers added. "It started back in 2009 or so to try to kill the inflation bubble and the property bubble. Rightly so in my view. Now they are starting to loosen up. I would not loosen up yet if I were China because they need to kill inflation totally and they need to totally pop the property bubble. But I am not China. They are going to do what they want to do."

With the eurozone crisis spreading to all corners of the globe, traditional safe havens have come to the fore. The gold price, for instance, traded above $1,900 an ounce last year but is now around $1,689. However, Mr Rogers believe this will start to rise again once governments are forced into restarting stimulus measures.

"Unfortunately, all central banks know to do is to print money. You are going to see more money printing, more debasement of currency and, therefore, the price of gold will go much higher over the course of the decade... The situation with gold is that it has been up 11 years in a row without a down year, which is extremely unusual."

Another commodity that is predicted to rise is oil, as supply issues and potential wars push the price ever higher.

"The surprise with oil is going to be how high it stays and how high it goes," Mr Rogers said. "We are running out of known reserves of oil. There may be a lot of oil in the world. If there is, we just don't know where it is. So prices are going to stay high and go much higher. If America goes to war with Iran, they are going to skyrocket."

Mr Rogers recommends buying oil if the price crashes on a country such as Spain leaving the eurozone.

Bernanke gloomy on economic outlook

By Robin Harding in Washington

Ben Bernanke offered a gloomy outlook for the US economy but the Federal Reserve chairman offered no hint of further monetary easing in testimony to Congress.

“We are looking very carefully at the economy, trying to judge whether or not the loss of momentum we’ve seen recently is enduring, and whether or not the economy is likely to continue to make progress,” he said, warning that progress in reducing a 8.2 per cent unemployment rate “seems likely to be frustratingly slow”.

The testimony initially disappointed markets – which are on tenterhooks for a signal of further monetary easing from the Fed – with stocks falling and the dollar rising before turning around later in the day.

A run of weak reports on the economy, with net job creation falling to 80,000 in June, has led to speculation that the Fed could ease policy further as soon as its August meeting.

Mr Bernanke said that recent data points to annualised growth of less than 2 per cent in the second quarter of 2012. “Households remain concerned about their employment and income prospects and their overall level of confidence remains relatively low,” he said.

The Fed chairman set out a list of options for further easing but refused to say which he might prefer. “The logical range includes different types of purchase programs. That could include Treasuries or include Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. Those are the two things we’re allowed to buy,” he said.

Asset purchases – also known as quantitative easing – are a way of driving down long-term interest rates to boost the economy when short-term rates are already at zero.

The Fed’s other options include lending via the Fed’s discount window, communications about future policy, or cutting the interest that the Fed pays banks on excess reserves, Mr Bernanke said. “We haven’t really come to a specific choice at this point, but we are looking for ways to address the weakness in the economy should more action be needed to promote a sustained recovery in the labour market.”

New data on Tuesday showed little sign of inflationary pressure – the overall consumer price index was up by 1.7 per cent on a year ago – and a rebound in industrial production, which was up 0.4 per cent in June after falling in May.

Mr Bernanke chided Congress for its failure to act on fiscal policy, citing it as one of two main risks to the economy alongside the eurozone crisis, and warning against a repeat of the market volatility and loss of economic confidence caused by last summer’s debacle over raising the debt ceiling.

The Fed chairman has ramped up his rhetoric on fiscal policy with each successive visit to Capitol Hill, but there is little sign that Congress is willing to compromise before the November election, even in order to boost growth.

“The most effective way that the Congress could help to support the economy right now would be to work to address the nation’s fiscal challenges in a way that takes into account both the need for long-run sustainability and the fragility of the recovery,” said Mr Bernanke. “Doing so earlier rather than later would help to reduce uncertainty and boost household and business confidence.”

$15 Trillion To Be Added To Money Supply & Gold To Ascend

KWN has been getting bombarded from readers around the world on the Michael Pento piece titled, “This Major Fed Move Is About To Cause Gold To Skyrocket.”   Today we followed up with Michael Pento because there was such tremendous interest in knowing more about this major move he expects from the Fed.  Today Pento told King World News that this move he is predicting could add a staggering $15 trillion to the money supply. 

Pento, of Pento Portfolio Strategies, also said that if this move happens, “you will see the gold market fly far past its nominal record high in extremely short order.”  Here is what Pento had to say:  “So let me put it together for your listeners.  We have $1.42 trillion of excess reserves.  We are now going to be told that there will be no capital reserve requirements on owning sovereign debt.  You will have commercial banks flooding the market with the purchase of sovereign debt.  Not just US debt, Portuguese debt, Spanish debt, Greek debt, all of that debt will have zero capital requirements.”

“Let me be clear on this, I’m not saying it could increase M2 money supply to $15 trillion, this could increase it by $15 trillion.  So we’re talking perhaps about $24 trillion.  It has the potential to increase to rapidly increase the global money supply, and it would be a tremendous boost to commodities, oil and precious metals. 

However, I would add that it will only vastly exacerbate the stagflationary environment that we see gripping the entire developed world....

“It’s much worse than a QE3 because QE1 and QE2, because the vast majority of that money created is sitting with the central bank, it’s laying fallow at the central bank.  But if you have a mechanism like I just described, no longer having sovereign debt have any capital reserve requirements, the notion to stop paying interest on these excess reserves, you will have all of that money that was laying fallow, flood into the economy at once.

So there is no easy answer.  Bernanke doesn’t know what he’s doing.  He spent too much time studying the Great Depression.  He’s going to get a chance to study one firsthand in my opinion. 

What he needs to do is let the free market work, and I can tell you that unleashing $1.5 trillion into the American economy, and having that money roll-over and multiply (to $15 trillion), through the money-multiplier-effect, is not a very good idea.”

Pento also added: “I am a big advocate of hard money policies around the world, and I love gold.  However, I am not a broken clock.  If gold was going to go into a bear market, I’d be the first one to tell you.  I have been on the record, on King World News, telling people when I thought gold was overbought.

I’ve been on record telling people that we’re in this cyclical period of truncated deflation, but if they do the two things I just described in this interview, which is to implement the Basel III Accord, and cease paying interest on excess reserves, you will see the gold market fly far past its nominal record high in extremely short order.”

The FED is talking about more quantitative easing

By Bob Chapman

Well, we had an $868 billion stimulus package. The Federal Reserve then created enough money and credit to bring that package assistance up to somewhere between $2.3 and $2.5 trillion. For that, we had approximately 16 months of attempted recovery. During that period of time, five quarters averaged growth between 3% and 3.25%. I feel that was a very, very high price to pay for a relatively sideways movement in the economy. Now we're back to square one. The recovery is not continuing. The Federal Reserve is talking about more quantitative easing. They're talking about buying back the toxic securities they bought from banks at a price they won't disclose. That move essentially cleared up the banks' books but at the same time encumbered the Fed's books, which they're now going to unburden by selling the bonds back to the same people they bought them from. Now, we don't know what the loss factor is because they won't tell us, so we have to ballpark it. Out of this money that's coming and going they have to come up with a figure somewhere in the vicinity of $1.2 trillion. That's what they're going to use for this quantitative easing.